Re: Masters assessment
Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2017 2:36 pm
A central point for Advanced Driving
https://www.advanceddrivinghub.com/forum/
https://www.advanceddrivinghub.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=8&t=680
Horse wrote:<a diagram of possible cognitive bias traps>
Horse wrote: But you can start by remembering these four giant problems our brains have evolved to deal with over the last few million years:
1.Information overload sucks, so we aggressively filter. Noise becomes signal.
2.Lack of meaning is confusing, so we fill in the gaps. Signal becomes a story.
3.Need to act fast lest we lose our chance, so we jump to conclusions. Stories become decisions.
4.This isn’t getting easier, so we try to remember the important bits. Decisions inform our mental models of the world.
In addition to the four problems, it would be useful to remember these four truths about how our solutions to these problems have problems of their own:
1.We don’t see everything. Some of the information we filter out is actually useful and important.
2.Our search for meaning can conjure illusions. We sometimes imagine details that were filled in by our assumptions, and construct meaning and stories that aren’t really there.
3.Quick decisions can be seriously flawed. Some of the quick reactions and decisions we jump to are unfair, self-serving, and counter-productive.
4.Our memory reinforces errors. Some of the stuff we remember for later just makes all of the above systems more biased, and more damaging to our thought processes.
By keeping the four problems with the world and the four consequences of our brain’s strategy to solve them, the availability heuristic (and, specifically, the Baader-Meinhof phenomenon) will insure that we notice our own biases more often.
Nothing we do can make the 4 problems go away (until we have a way to expand our minds’ computational power and memory storage to match that of the universe) but if we accept that we are permanently biased, but that there’s room for improvement, confirmation bias will continue to help us find evidence that supports this, which will ultimately lead us to better understanding ourselves.
Zoomable cognitive bias diagram:
https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/200 ... 6DCNA.jpeg
Only about 170-odd of them . . .
https://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/im ... 155794.png
Mr Cholmondeley-Warner wrote:Horse wrote:<a diagram of possible cognitive bias traps>
So that's a list of the pitfalls - surely what would now be useful, instead of reams of psychology techno-jargon, would be some helpful tips to avoid them, in the riding / driving world?
Horse wrote:Mr Cholmondeley-Warner wrote:Horse wrote:<a diagram of possible cognitive bias traps>
So that's a list of the pitfalls - surely what would now be useful, instead of reams of psychology techno-jargon, would be some helpful tips to avoid them, in the riding / driving world?
Well, there's the one I mentioned earlier . . . if 'progress' and 'overtaking' or any variations on a theme are mentioned as positives or assessment criteria, then it's likely that drivers will be looking for evidence to support their intention to carry out those actions.
Horse wrote:
And this is where I'm confused by responses: do you not agree with the the way cognitive bias can affect judgement and decisions on-road, or are you suggesting that certain drivers are exempt (see, another 'masters'/advanced police reference) or immune from them?
hir wrote: And this is where I'm confused by responses: I thought this sub-thread was about the "thirds" rule and our understanding of what the technique entails and how it is applied in practice.