Postby userLeft1 » Tue Jun 21, 2016 10:01 am
A few observations.
The UK is not a democracy. It is a representative democracy and that is critical to what a post- leave vote will mean. Both the major political parties that can realistically form the UK government are committed to the single market and a vote to leave the EU is not a vote to not be part of the single market.
The single market, is an attempt by EU countries to standardise rules across the EU to remove barriers that restrict the buying and selling of goods and services, the employment of workers and the making and receiving of capital investment. The rules are made by the Member States of the EU not the EU institutions. Prior to 1986 the making of these rules required unanimity among States and naturally progress was slow. Subsequently, Member States introduced 'qualified majority voting' to solve this 'sclerosis' in achieving the single market. Each MS has a number of votes depending on its size. The most votes are held by Germany, France, Italy and the UK , the 'big four'. No single Member State can veto proposed legislation on its own, it takes at least two of the 'big four' in addition to any one of the others to do so. this leads to plenty of bargaining between Member States. As it stands the UK has only been outvoted on around 5% of EU legislation. One might say a 5% loss of sovereignty in return for membership of the single market. For some of course, that is 100% too much.
Why is any of the above relevant? In my view all of the evidence points to our elected representatives, both present and future keeping us in the single market in the event of a leave vote. This would most likely be achieved by signing a series of treaties with the EU as, for example, Switzerland has done. Switzerland is not in the EU but is, effectively, part of the single market. You might be surprised to learn that Switzerland, like the UK, is a net contributor to the EU. If a State wishes to be part of the single market then a State must accept all of the rules of the single market. One of those rules, that our elected representatives signed up to around 15 years ago is that the rich Western European countries would subsidise investment in infrastructure in the poor post-Communist, Eastern European countries. This was not imposed on us by EU institutions, our elected representatives choice to do this and it required unanimity. As Switzerland is not in the EU it does not have a single vote on new legislation that is proposed for the single market.
Some argue that, as the UK's economy is so much larger than Switzerland's leaving the single market would damage the single market and this threat should persuade the rest of the EU to allow the UK to remain part of the single market but on its own terms. Furthermore they argue that if the rest of the EU didn't concede to this then those Member States would be "punishing" the UK for leaving the EU. Other Member States cannot reasonably be expected to allow the UK to pick and choose which rules of the single market it wishes to be bound by when they cannot do the same. If anyone is intending to "blackmail" it is some 'Leave' supporters.
The referendum does not put the people in control of Government. It simply puts a political constraint on the manner in which Government achieves its objectives. I believe a vote to leave is a vote for the UK to give up more of its political sovereignty as we will be left out of the law making process but still part of the single market. Be careful what you wish for.